Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.003789 0.003982 0.004180 0.004399 0.004634 0.004878 0.005153
2025-07-06 0.003355 0.003631 0.003925 0.004263 0.004643 0.005058 0.005546
2025-07-13 0.003155 0.003482 0.003842 0.004267 0.004760 0.005316 0.005996
2025-07-20 0.003040 0.003410 0.003826 0.004331 0.004931 0.005628 0.006509
2025-07-27 0.002888 0.003282 0.003733 0.004290 0.004968 0.005774 0.006820
2025-08-03 0.002765 0.003178 0.003658 0.004261 0.005010 0.005920 0.007131
2025-08-10 0.002655 0.003082 0.003585 0.004228 0.005040 0.006047 0.007418
2025-08-17 0.002609 0.003059 0.003597 0.004297 0.005197 0.006337 0.007927
2025-08-24 0.002527 0.002989 0.003546 0.004281 0.005242 0.006481 0.008247
2025-08-31 0.002446 0.002915 0.003488 0.004252 0.005266 0.006596 0.008528
2025-09-07 0.002361 0.002832 0.003414 0.004198 0.005252 0.006656 0.008732
2025-09-14 0.002279 0.002751 0.003339 0.004139 0.005228 0.006698 0.008911
2025-09-21 0.002227 0.002706 0.003309 0.004140 0.005286 0.006859 0.009273
2025-09-28 0.002125 0.002594 0.003189 0.004014 0.005164 0.006759 0.009242
2025-10-05 0.002081 0.002557 0.003165 0.004018 0.005221 0.006916 0.009605
2025-10-12 0.002062 0.002550 0.003181 0.004076 0.005357 0.007191 0.010165
2025-10-19 0.002007 0.002495 0.003130 0.004039 0.005352 0.007259 0.010401
2025-10-26 0.001959 0.002448 0.003088 0.004012 0.005362 0.007347 0.010672
2025-11-02 0.001913 0.002401 0.003044 0.003982 0.005364 0.007422 0.010925
2025-11-09 0.001902 0.002402 0.003066 0.004045 0.005508 0.007721 0.011567
2025-11-16 0.001865 0.002366 0.003036 0.004031 0.005533 0.007834 0.011900
2025-11-23 0.001825 0.002325 0.002998 0.004004 0.005538 0.007915 0.012180
2025-11-30 0.001779 0.002275 0.002945 0.003954 0.005504 0.007930 0.012343